5.55 Kempton
Elusif is from my handicappers to follow and switches back to the all-weather
after seasonal reappearance at Nottingham; a race which I think was quite
strong for the grade. Having said that, Elusif was very disappointing that day,
looking well off the pace and not good enough to ever mount a challenge. The
handicapper has put him down 3lbs for that run which would put him in with a
shout based on his debut effort at Ascot. He does not seem to have progressed
from that run and with the Marco Botti yard in poor form at the moment; I am
reluctantly posting this selection. I would probably wait before backing him as
he seems quite easy to back at the moment and his price may drift in the
morning. Reshaan (6/1 Bet365) looks the most likely winner as his best run to
date was at Kempton and his opening mark is fair based on that. At bigger
prices, Safe Waters (16/1 Paddy Power, William Hill) looks interesting; she
produced her best two performances when held up, but last time she raced
prominently and was still quite green, jumping the path at Lingfield. A return
to more patient tactics may see her finishing closer here as she is on quite a
good mark.
By
Elusive Quality, who’s progeny can progress nicely from two to three. He was
promising on debut but went backwards on subsequent runs. He probably didn’t
suit the all-weather on his third start so that run can be dismissed. His dam’s
best RPR was 101 on firm ground. Elusif is a risky proposition based on what he
has done so far, but I think there will be improvement on a decent surface over
a mile as a three-year-old.
1 pt win SAFE WATERS (16/1 Paddy Power, William Hill)
0.5 pts each way ELUSIF (20/1 Paddy
Power 3 places, 16/1 Ladbrokes, Coral 4 places)
Dark horses and handicappers to follow:
Date
|
Horse
|
Early Price
|
SP
|
Position
|
Points Total
|
30/03/18
|
Arthenia
|
14/1
|
14/1
|
4th
|
-1
|
04/04/18
|
Becky Sharp
|
20/1
|
33/1
|
8th
|
-1
|
11/04/18
|
Master Grey
|
6/1
|
9/4
|
8th
|
-1
|
17/04/18
|
Symbolization
|
5/6
|
4/6
|
2nd
|
-1
|
19/04/18
|
Sheika Reika
|
2/1
|
5/4
|
1st
|
2
|
20/04/18
|
Bombyx
|
11/4
|
9/4
|
2nd
|
-1
|
21/04/18
|
Camden Town
|
33/1
|
16/1
|
7th
|
-1
|
23/04/18
|
Ingenuity
|
7/4
|
9/4
|
3rd
|
-1
|
23/04/18
|
Stream Song
|
4/7
|
1/1
|
1st
|
1
|
27/04/18
|
Spark of War
|
16/1
|
16/1
|
9th
|
-1
|
28/04/18
|
Moxy Mares
|
10/1
|
7/1
|
1st
|
10
|
28/04/18
|
Camden Town
|
16/1
|
11/2
|
4th
|
-1
|
30/04/18
|
Red Miracle
|
9/2
|
8/1
|
7th
|
-1
|
30/04/18
|
Master Grey
|
5/2
|
5/2
|
1st
|
2.5
|
01/05/18
|
Diocletian
|
4/1
|
2/1
|
3rd
|
-1
|
01/05/18
|
Chantresse
|
16/1
|
6/1
|
4th
|
-1
|
01/05/18
|
Contrebasse
|
11/1
|
20/1
|
10th
|
-1
|
05/05/18
|
Stephensons Rocket
|
10/1
|
13/2
|
5th
|
-1
|
05/05/18
|
Symbolization
|
7/4
|
7/4
|
1st
|
1.75
|
05/05/18
|
Victory Chime
|
12/1
|
6/1
|
1st
|
12
|
10/05/18
|
Glendevon
|
13/8
|
5/2
|
3rd
|
-1
|
10/05/18
|
Arthenia
|
16/1
|
28/1
|
5th
|
-1
|
12/05/18
|
Antagonist
|
11/2
|
7/1
|
10th
|
-1
|
12/05/18
|
Elusif
|
16/1
|
33/1
|
7th
|
-1
|
14/05/18
|
Silver Crescent
|
8/1
|
9/2
|
2nd
|
-1
|
14/05/18
|
Port of Call
|
12/1
|
10/1
|
4th
|
-1
|
18/05/18
|
Victory Chime
|
6/1
|
9/2
|
6th
|
-1
|
21/05/18
|
Narodowa
|
12/1
|
25/1
|
3rd
|
-1
|
Total as of 21/05/18 +7.25
pts
Eye catchers mentioned in the blog (no specific
bets advised, but put up for reference)
Horse
|
Early Price
|
SP
|
Position
|
Win or EW
|
Points Total
|
Highland Sky
|
16/1
|
25/1
|
Last
|
EW
|
-1
|
Cogri
|
12/1
|
16/1
|
2nd
|
EW
|
2.5
|
Imagintive
|
12/1
|
11/2
|
7th
|
EW
|
-1
|
Mirror Mirror
|
14/1
|
6th
|
EW
|
-1
|
|
Crystal Hope
|
14/1
|
1st
|
EW
|
8.75
|
|
The Navigator
|
7/1
|
4/1
|
1st
|
EW
|
4.375
|
Wadilsafa
|
4/1
|
15/8
|
1st
|
4
|
|
Give And Take
|
9/2
|
7/2
|
1st
|
4.5
|
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