Wednesday, 21 February 2018

Three-year-old handicappers to follow: Part 2

The next post in a series of blogs looking to identify some three-year-old handicap winners for 2018. There are some risky ones here so hopefully their prices will reflect this.

Horse
Comment
Rating

Bombyx
Showed a good attitude when winning against some good types on second start following a promising debut in a strong race at Newmarket. Bombyx has a proper middle distance pedigree being by Derby winner, Sir Percy. The dam has produced five horses with RPRs over 100, four of which were best over a mile and a half. Bombyx doesn’t have an official rating but a best guess would be mid 80s. I think he has the potential to be a three-figure horse.
N/A
Born To Spend
Born to Sea half-sister to Celestial Halo, who has not shown much on three starts so far for Ian Williams. Born To Spend is closely related to a two miler with an RPR of 99 with the same trainer. Ian Williams is a shrewd operator, so this horse could win a couple of prizes once significantly stepped up in trip as a three-year-old. Starts off on a low mark and is worth a try in staying handicaps.
55
Camden Town
Godolphin bred and sold to Roger Fell before seeing a racecourse. This horse may have been written off too early, as is often the case with plenty of well-bred horses. Camden Town was well beaten behind the mighty impressive Without Parole on his third start at Newcastle. Although he was soundly beaten, he did show some signs of ability and is almost certain to be better at three than at two. Camden Town is a half-brother to 2m hurdle winner Chesterfield and may be worth risking in middle distance handicaps off a low mark.
58
Chantresse
A Karl Burke filly who’s best two runs of her three to date have come on soft ground, she is a half-sister to Iveagh Gardens (RPR 109), who acted best on heavy ground. She made good late headway at Catterick on her third start, the form of which looks somewhat questionable, however. Her mark isn’t that lenient but she has shown some promise on her first three starts and should be competitive in soft ground handicaps.
68
Contrebasse
Had three good educational runs to get a mark towards the back end of the season. The first run can be dismissed as it was run on unsuitably heavy ground. He stayed on nicely in a York novice event on second start and his pedigree suggests he will be suited by a step up in trip. The progeny of Champs Elysees progress well and are better suited by decent ground. His mark is fair and his dam has produced multiple winners, so I would be surprised if Contrebasse doesn’t get his head in front this season.
65


No comments:

Post a Comment

Tuesday 24th July 2018

  19.40 Chelmsford Hollydaze may prove tough to beat, putting up an excellent RPR last time, but the verdict goes to ...